THE IDEA

Can you stay unpredictable?

Mixed strategies randomize over actions. Matching pennies has no pure Nash equilibrium: after any fixed pair of choices, one player wants to change.

Inside this model

Matching choices pay A +s and B −s; different choices reverse the payoffs. A's expected heads payoff is s(2p−1), and tails is its negative. At a 50/50 opponent, both pay zero in expectation. In equilibrium both randomize equally.

Out in the world

A practical use

A predictable inspection schedule can be exploited. Randomization can make a pattern harder to anticipate.

WHERE IT BREAKS

A useful lens. Not a universal law.

  • This is a zero-sum game with a fixed opponent policy. It does not imply that random behavior is best in general.

Associated thinkers

Further reading

Explore the original research or the teaching reference behind this experiment.

PNAS — The Nash equilibrium: a perspective ↗