THE IDEA

Which coin is harder to predict?

Entropy measures average surprise under a specified probability model.

Inside this model

For a binary event with probability p, H(p)=−p log₂ p−(1−p) log₂(1−p) bits. Entropy peaks at one bit for p=0.5 and approaches zero at the extremes.

Out in the world

A practical use

Estimate how much information a yes/no answer may carry when one answer is rare.

WHERE IT BREAKS

A useful lens. Not a universal law.

  • Entropy describes uncertainty in a model, not meaning or usefulness of the message.

Associated thinkers

Further reading

Explore the original research or the teaching reference behind this experiment.

Claude Shannon — A Mathematical Theory of Communication ↗