01Interactive
For some things, the longer they have lasted, the longer they may last.
Associated with Nassim Nicholas Taleb (provisional)
Nassim Nicholas Taleb.
Essayist and researcher whose work examines uncertainty, rare events, and the fragility of systems. His writing brings questions of survival and risk into everyday decision making.
Popularized
Discussed
01Interactive
The shape of a response determines whether variation helps or hurts.
Discussed by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
02Interactive
Separate a protected reserve from a small, explicitly risky allocation.
Discussed by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
03Interactive
The right to act without an obligation changes the downside of uncertainty.
Discussed by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
04Interactive
Who receives the upside—and who bears the loss—can change a decision.
Discussed by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
05Interactive
A long reassuring history can miss the mechanism that ends it.
Discussed by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
06○ Planned
Extreme events can be more common—and more consequential—than we expect.
Associated with Nassim Nicholas Taleb (provisional)
07Interactive
Even a favorable game can end badly when your resources are finite.
Associated with Nassim Nicholas Taleb (provisional)
08○ Planned
The stories we can see may hide the evidence we need most.
Associated with Nassim Nicholas Taleb (provisional)
These relationships distinguish discussion, development, and popularization; they do not imply sole invention. Effect pages include supporting references where verified and label provisional associations.