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Common Knowledge.

Compare a hat puzzle with and without a public announcement that at least one hat is blue.

Interactive experimentintuitiveField note ·
INTERACTIVE EXPERIMENT / M23

Common Knowledge

Compare a hat puzzle with and without a public announcement that at least one hat is blue.

PLAY & EXPLAIN

Three perfect logicians see the other hats, never their own. At each simultaneous round they announce only if certain their own hat is blue. Everyone hears every announcement and silence.

13
A: BlueB: BlueC: Blue
Rounds heard
0
Possible public worlds
7

The audience sees all hats; each logician sees only the other two.

Without a public announcement, the all-white world remains possible and silence never starts the chain of deductions.

Perfect reasoning, simultaneous rounds and common knowledge of the protocol are essential; real communication can be delayed or misunderstood.

THE SHORT VERSION

Common Knowledge, explained.

A fact is common knowledge when everyone knows it, everyone knows that everyone knows it, and this mutual knowledge continues at every level.

01 / THE MECHANISM

Why it happens

Three perfect logicians see other hats but not their own. Each simultaneous silent round eliminates worlds in which someone would already know their hat was blue. A public announcement excludes the all-white world and starts the induction.

A fact is common knowledge when everyone knows it, everyone knows that everyone knows it, and this mutual knowledge continues at every level.

Read the result

Count simultaneous silent rounds under the same public protocol; a public announcement removes a world that private observation alone may not remove.

02 / FOLLOW IT THROUGH

A worked example

Three blue hats and a public fact

  1. Keep all three hats blue and enable the public announcement that at least one is blue.

  2. Hear two silent rounds as participants eliminate worlds in which someone would have known earlier.

  3. Hear the third-round deduction, then reset without the announcement to see why silence no longer starts the same induction.

OPTIONAL DEEPER DETAILGo deeper: inside the model

Inside this model

Three perfect logicians see other hats but not their own. Each simultaneous silent round eliminates worlds in which someone would already know their hat was blue. A public announcement excludes the all-white world and starts the induction.

03 / BEYOND THE EXPERIMENT

Where this idea is useful

A practical use

When coordinating a group, distinguish privately sending the same information from establishing a shared public fact.

CHECK YOUR INTUITION

A common misconception

THE TEMPTING CONCLUSION

“Everyone privately knowing a fact makes it common knowledge.”

THE MORE USEFUL DISTINCTION

Mutual knowledge includes what each person knows about others’ knowledge at every level. A public event can change these higher-order beliefs.

What this explanation leaves out

  • Perfect reasoning, simultaneous rounds and common knowledge of the protocol are essential; real communication can be delayed or misunderstood.
ONE MORE QUESTION

Why does nobody act on the first round with three blue hats?

Each blue-hatted person still considers a world with only the other two blue, where those people would also initially be unsure.

TAKE THE IDEA WITH YOU

Does your coordination message establish that others know everyone received it?

Associated thinkers

Associated withRobert Aumann ↗

Associations marked provisional are awaiting source review.

Further reading

Explore the original research or the teaching reference behind this experiment.