Would you choose the safe plan or the gamble?
Changing a description can shift attention without changing the underlying outcomes.
Inside this model
A safe plan preserves one-third of the chosen group. A gamble preserves everyone with probability one-third and nobody otherwise. The losses frame states the same options as two-thirds lost for sure versus a two-thirds chance all are lost. Expected lives preserved are equal.
Out in the world
A practical use
Compare policy options by converting both gain and loss language into the same outcome table.
A useful lens. Not a universal law.
- The game displays a classic equivalence; it does not estimate your framing susceptibility from one answer.
Associated thinkers
Further reading
Explore the original research or the teaching reference behind this experiment.
Tversky and Kahneman — The Framing of Decisions ↗