← The collection

Expenditure Multiplier.

Trace an initial spending change through successive consumption rounds.

Interactive experimentintuitiveField note ·
INTERACTIVE EXPERIMENT / P47

Expenditure Multiplier

Trace an initial spending change through successive consumption rounds.

TEST THE MECHANISM

An initial autonomous spending change generates further rounds when recipients spend a fixed fraction of new income. Taxes, imports, prices, interest rates and capacity limits are held out of this simple expenditure model.

10100
00.9
Round-by-round teaching expenditure
RoundAdditional spending
120.00
Cumulative spending in shown rounds
20.00
Infinite geometric-model total
50.00
Model multiplier
2.50

The geometric total is conditional arithmetic, not an empirical fiscal multiplier or a forecast for a particular economy.

Fixed prices and the absence of taxes, imports, interest effects and capacity limits are assumptions. The geometric sum is not an empirical fiscal multiplier or a national-income forecast.

THE SHORT VERSION

Expenditure Multiplier, explained.

The simple expenditure multiplier relates an autonomous spending change to equilibrium income in a model with specified spending feedback and leakages.

01 / THE MECHANISM

Why it happens

Each displayed round spends the initial amount times MPC to the round index. With only saving as a leakage, the infinite geometric total is initial spending divided by one minus MPC.

The simple expenditure multiplier relates an autonomous spending change to equilibrium income in a model with specified spending feedback and leakages.

Read the result

Displayed rounds form a partial geometric sum. The infinite total follows the declared leakages and fixed-price assumptions rather than an estimated policy effect.

02 / FOLLOW IT THROUGH

A worked example

Trace twenty units through a simple spending chain

  1. Set initial spending twenty and marginal propensity to consume 0.6.

  2. Add rounds of twelve, 7.2 and subsequent smaller amounts while tracking the partial total.

  3. Compare with the model limit fifty without calling that number a measured national fiscal multiplier.

OPTIONAL DEEPER DETAILGo deeper: inside the model

Inside this model

Each displayed round spends the initial amount times MPC to the round index. With only saving as a leakage, the infinite geometric total is initial spending divided by one minus MPC.

03 / BEYOND THE EXPERIMENT

Where this idea is useful

A practical use

Ask which leakages and resource constraints a multiplier claim includes before transferring it to a real economy.

CHECK YOUR INTUITION

A common misconception

THE TEMPTING CONCLUSION

“Every economy must have multiplier one divided by one minus MPC.”

THE MORE USEFUL DISTINCTION

That formula belongs to a restrictive expenditure model. Taxes, imports, prices, capacity and financing conditions change the feedback and empirical outcome.

What this explanation leaves out

  • Fixed prices and the absence of taxes, imports, interest effects and capacity limits are assumptions. The geometric sum is not an empirical fiscal multiplier or a national-income forecast.
ONE MORE QUESTION

Why does another round never exceed the previous one here?

MPC is constrained below one, so each induced spending round is a smaller fraction of the last.

TAKE THE IDEA WITH YOU

Which leakages and resource limits were excluded from the multiplier being quoted?

Associated thinkers

Associations marked provisional are awaiting source review.

Further reading

Explore the original research or the teaching reference behind this experiment.