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Condorcet Voting Paradox.

Three consistent voters can produce a cycling majority.

Interactive experimentintuitiveField note ·
Preparing the experiment…
THE SHORT VERSION

Condorcet Voting Paradox, explained.

The Condorcet voting paradox occurs when pairwise majority preferences cycle even though each voter has a consistent ranking.

01 / THE MECHANISM

Why it happens

Different pairs can be decided by different coalitions. Adding majority comparisons does not preserve the transitivity of the individual rankings, so a candidate who defeats every rival need not exist.

Individually consistent rankings can aggregate into a majority cycle: A defeats B, B defeats C, and C defeats A.

Read the result

At three voters in each group, compare all three vote counts. Increase the first group and notice when the cycle disappears. The bars show votes for the named side, not vote shares from three independent elections.

02 / FOLLOW IT THROUGH

A worked example

A committee with three ranking groups

  1. Three prefer A>B>C, three B>C>A and three C>A>B.

  2. Six prefer A to B, six prefer B to C, and six prefer C to A.

  3. Each majority is valid, but their cycle prevents a single candidate from beating both rivals.

OPTIONAL DEEPER DETAILGo deeper: inside the model

Inside this model

Two groups contain three voters each; the first contains the chosen number. All pairwise votes are counted from strict rankings. A Condorcet winner must defeat both alternatives.

03 / BEYOND THE EXPERIMENT

Where this idea is useful

A practical use

Meeting outcomes can depend on the order of pairwise votes when no option defeats every rival.

CHECK YOUR INTUITION

A common misconception

THE TEMPTING CONCLUSION

“A cycling majority means individual voters contradict themselves.”

THE MORE USEFUL DISTINCTION

Every individual ranking can remain consistent. The inconsistency arises in the aggregated pairwise relation.

What this explanation leaves out

  • Only three ranking types are represented. The absence of a Condorcet winner does not mean voters themselves are inconsistent.
ONE MORE QUESTION

Why might agenda order matter?

A sequential pairwise process can eliminate an option before its favorable matchup occurs; a cycle makes the order consequential.

TAKE THE IDEA WITH YOU

Does your group decision rule specify what happens when no option defeats every other one?

Further reading

Explore the original research or the teaching reference behind this experiment.