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Bootstrap Resampling.

Inspect resampled means and see what happens when the largest observed value is omitted.

Interactive experimentintuitiveField note ·
INTERACTIVE EXPERIMENT / M14

Bootstrap Resampling

Inspect resampled means and see what happens when the largest observed value is omitted.

TEST THE MECHANISM

Observed sample: 1, 2, 2, 4, 7, 9. Resample the same number of observations with replacement from this empirical sample.

477229
Observed sample mean
4.17
This resample’s mean
5.17
Bootstrap percentile interval
2.00 to 6.50

The displayed interval takes the 5th and 195th ordered means from 200 replicates. It is a finite Monte Carlo percentile summary conditional on the observed sample, not proof of 95% population coverage. Missing or unrepresentative observations remain missing under resampling.

Six observations are a very small empirical sample. Resampling cannot reconstruct missing tails or repair selection bias; the displayed percentile range is not guaranteed coverage.

THE SHORT VERSION

Bootstrap Resampling, explained.

The nonparametric bootstrap approximates sampling variability by repeatedly resampling observations with replacement from the empirical sample.

01 / THE MECHANISM

Why it happens

Two hundred size-six resamples are drawn from 1, 2, 2, 4, 7, 9. Their means form a histogram and percentile range. Omitting 9 changes the empirical distribution rather than supplying missing population data.

The nonparametric bootstrap approximates sampling variability by repeatedly resampling observations with replacement from the empirical sample.

Read the result

The histogram describes means of resamples from the observed empirical distribution, not new observations from the unknown population.

02 / FOLLOW IT THROUGH

A worked example

A six-value sample and its resampled means

  1. Inspect the observed values one, two, two, four, seven and nine before generating resamples.

  2. Open an individual size-six resample to see repeated observations and its calculated mean.

  3. Omit nine and compare the changed range, recognising this as sensitivity analysis rather than correction of an outlier.

OPTIONAL DEEPER DETAILGo deeper: inside the model

Inside this model

Two hundred size-six resamples are drawn from 1, 2, 2, 4, 7, 9. Their means form a histogram and percentile range. Omitting 9 changes the empirical distribution rather than supplying missing population data.

03 / BEYOND THE EXPERIMENT

Where this idea is useful

A practical use

Use resampling to explore an estimator’s sensitivity while checking whether the sample represents the process you care about.

CHECK YOUR INTUITION

A common misconception

THE TEMPTING CONCLUSION

“Resampling creates information about outcomes the sample never captured.”

THE MORE USEFUL DISTINCTION

The empirical bootstrap can reuse observed values in new combinations, but it cannot discover an absent tail or undo biased sampling.

What this explanation leaves out

  • Six observations are a very small empirical sample. Resampling cannot reconstruct missing tails or repair selection bias; the displayed percentile range is not guaranteed coverage.
ONE MORE QUESTION

Are the percentile endpoints guaranteed to cover the population mean?

No. Small samples, skew and estimator behaviour affect coverage; the displayed fifth and 195th ordered means are a teaching percentile range.

TAKE THE IDEA WITH YOU

Which important population behaviour might be absent from the sample you are resampling?

Associated thinkers

Associated withBradley Efron ↗

Associations marked provisional are awaiting source review.

Further reading

Explore the original research or the teaching reference behind this experiment.